Picture ideal. Often it’s best dilemma that holds all the interest at the Bulbs, since that confirms a front-runner for the Academy prizes. But “Lincoln,” which is a preferred to win best dilemma at the Bulbs, is already an Oscar front-runner. The juice comes with comedy/musical, where “Silver Designs Playbook,” an Oscar competitors to “Lincoln,” is selected at the Bulbs. If the Bob O. Russell dramedy can take off the win this evening, it will identify itself as a strong substitute to the Spielberg record item. If “Silver Linings” cannot disappointed “Les Miserables,” the preferred in their Bulbs classification, “Lincoln” will even further expand its Oscar cause.
Actress activity. Jessica Chastain is a preferred at both the Bulbs and the Academy prizes for her convert as a headstrong CIA broker in enemy manhunt pic “Zero Black 30.” But to win the World for best dilemma celebrity she will have to vanquish four stars of the kind Bulbs voters love: non People in america with strong cvs (non-Americans have won as often as People in america in this Bulbs classification over the last six years). Marion Cotillard, Sue Mirren, Naomi H and Rachel Weisz are Chastain’s competitors, and any of them, except maybe Weisz, has a affordable taken of getting the award. That would be a strike to Chastain's Oscar possibilities, though she will stay the front-runner.
Directing traffic. The Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. can go its enjoyably wacky way in a lot of categories. The director award is no exception — last year the HFPA handed it to Martin Scorsese for “Hugo” (it's given awards to Scorsese and Oliver Stone pretty much whenever those guys make a movie). Spielberg is the odds-on favorite here, as he is at the Oscars, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see the HFPA jury-nullify with a Bigelow or Affleck after they were snubbed for Oscar nominations. The HFPA could also give Quentin Tarantino in the Weinstein Co.-distributed “Django Unchained” the prize. No one's talking about him for awards consideration -- exactly the way the HFPA likes it. Also, it's Harvey.
Foreign fun. An area the HFPA knows well by dint of its membership. (It’s also an area they’ve gotten back on the same page as the Oscars in the last two years after five straight years of diverging.) The big question is whether “Intouchables,” a global blockbuster that didn’t make the Oscar cut, achieves its revenge. The HFPA can go French with “Rust & Bone” too. Expect one of the two -- and another year when the Globes diverge from the Oscars -- though Michael Haneke's "Amour" isn't out of the running either: The HFPA gave this prize to Haneke the last time he made a movie.