Last fall, I spent my Sunday in the war room at the world headquarters of ESPN, watching NFL games with guys down. It was great fun, and as you can imagine, the discussions of football and many stories emerged. At one point a former player who shall remain anonymous asked me what I thought of Reggie Bush. I told him I thought Bush was an injury prone tease whose career has been a rather large disappointment.
It is a former player (skill position guy) just crazy. He asked around the room, especially a former defensive player: the player who was a Saints offense that the defense of the most feared in the NFL? The same answer came back over and over again. Reggie Bush.
Now this does not mean that Bush apocryphal story is a great player and above all does not mean it's a great player great. It is not. The NFL pros means is that the lines of Bush all over the place, trying to create mismatches. If you are not ultra-aware of where you are, anytime you end up with a defensive end or linebacker record of Bush's ultra-fast and dangerous. I understand.
But I still think that Bush is a pretty big disappointment.
In theory it should do all these things to the defenses of the NFL, but in practice, Bush has lost 16 of its 42 previous games. His career by making an average 4.0 monotonous (particularly low given that it is not a runner from the inside.) His reception total is literally fell into each of its five-season pro. And he scored but one TD last year.
Thursday morning, Bush was traded by the Dolphins Santos. It's probably good news for fantasy value. He escaped a crowded backfield New Orleans, where Mark Ingram, Pierre Thomas and Chris Ivory effortlessly and goes to a Miami team that has reportedly dropped Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams. Only rookie Daniel Thomas is clearly ahead of Bush in the depth map, and last year we all had a good dose of reality to find out how RBS recruits may disappoint (hello, Ryan Mathews!). If he stays healthy, Bush is likely to generate between 150 and 200 touching the line of scrimmage. Not an option short terrible, especially around the edge, as his 17 rushing touchdowns in the first four years of their degree program. And we all know can be a force in the receiving game (which was 87 and 73 catches in '06 and '07, respectively). But it is fragile. You can project a powerful flex if you feel optimistic, but we hope to play 16 games this year in the border circular boulevard in the sky.
At the same time, this spot is pretty good news, Daniel Thomas. Yes, he's still a rookie, who have stayed all summer working on his new team. Yes, Bush is eating his touch. But the Dolphins have never been completely surrender touches RB untested guy (no matter how talented), so they were always going to acquire a veteran. In recent days there have been rumors that Miami was serious about signing of Ahmad Bradshaw, which would have been much more catastrophic Thomas' book. Bush is also injury prone, and the idea of someone's property back. As such, Thomas is a top-30 fantasy option to be more upside down.
New Orleans, the most important unknown is a state of Ivory injured leg. He needed surgery Lisfranc this winter, and now I'm assuming that he is a distant third place in depth. If so, the main concert comes down to Ingram and RB Pierre Thomas. We all know that Sean Payton loves to share his work quickly: In the last four years, the Saints rusher has a total of more than 230 shades of the season, and only one - Bush in '07 - has received more than 186. Although the fantasy value of Ingram and Thomas will probably be a little 'clearer with Bush gone, my ranking of those more or less always assumed Bush would leave. The fact is, Ingram, and Thomas are going to fight every other aspect. At the moment, I think they are very close, Ingram seems the favorite plow-horse (even short TDs), while Thomas will take a few steps, and take the most common formations.
Frenchy I like this kind of role - in the same position in '08 and '09, his average of over 1,000 total yards and 10 TDS - and I think I could have the first draft. But Ingram did not go higher than most of the proposals, and probably much higher.